THE IMPLEMENTATION OF GREY FORECASTING MODEL FOR FORECAST OF CAPTURED FISHERIES PRODUCTION

Muhammad Shodiq, MS (2023) THE IMPLEMENTATION OF GREY FORECASTING MODEL FOR FORECAST OF CAPTURED FISHERIES PRODUCTION. Jurnal Ilmiah Kursor, 9 (4). pp. 169-176. ISSN 0201-6914

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Abstraksi

The increasing need for fish causes problems related to production in the fisheries sector. In fisheries production all information related to fishing ground is well known, but on the other hand it is not easy to predict the amount of production due to unclear information. This is also related to the number of ships that make trips, the length (time) of the trip, the type of fishing gear, weather conditions, the quality of human resources, natural environmental factors, and others. The purpose of this study is to apply Grey forecasting model GM (1,1) to predict fisheries production. Grey forecasting models are used to build forecast models with limited amounts of data with short-term forecasts that will produce accurate forecasts. This study employs the data of captured fish from 2010 to 2018 to analyze calculations using the GM model (1,1). The results showed that the Grey Forecasting Model GM (1.1) produced accurate forecasts with an ARPE error value of 9.60% or the accuracy of the forecast model reached 90.40%%.

Item Type:	Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Fisheries Production, Forecasting, GM (1,1), Grey Forecasting
Subjects:	Fakultas Sains, Teknologi dan Pendidikan > S1 Fisika T Technology > T Technology (General)
Divisions:	Fakultas Sains, Teknologi dan Pendidikan
Depositing User:	Dosen Muhammad Shodiq
Date Deposited:	17 Jan 2023 08:47
Last Modified:	17 Jan 2023 08:47
URI:	http://repository.umla.ac.id/id/eprint/2524

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